Dr. Vahram Ter-Matevosyan is Associate Professor and Chair of the Political Science and International Affairs Program at the American University of Armenia. He specializes in Foreign and Security Policies of Turkey and the South Caucasus states. He has received his Doctor of Philosophy Degree from the University of Bergen (Norway), Master’s degree from Lund University (Sweden), Candidate of historical sciences degree from the Institute of Oriental Studies (Armenia). He was Visiting Professor at Duke University, NC (2016), Fulbright Scholar at the University of California, Berkeley, (2009-2010) and Visiting Doctoral Student at the University of Washington, Seattle (2005). He has authored two monographs: "Turkey, Kemalism, and the Soviet Union: Problems of Modernization, Ideology and Interpretation," New York & London. Palgrave Macmillan 2019; an award-winning monograph "Islam in the Social and Political Life of Turkey, 1970-2001," Yerevan, Limush, 2008; and co-authored "History of the Turkish Republic," Yerevan State University Press, 2014 (reprinted in 2019). His research articles have been published in the following peer-reviewed journals: “Nations and Nationalism,” “Europe-Asia Studies,” “Turkish Studies,” “Middle Eastern Studies”, “Insight Turkey”, “Eurasian Geography and Economics,” “Turkish Review,” “Caucasus Survey,” “Journal of Southeast European and Black Sea Studies,” “Iran and the Caucasus,” “Diaspora Studies,” “Études Arméniennes Contemporaines,” “Caucasus Analytical Digest,” “Contemporary Eurasia” etc.
Ilham Aliyev’s gamble is doomed to fail. His risk calculation and management toolbox is inherently defective. The initial military advantage of his army had clear drivers which the Defense Army of Artsakh has now fully identified, unearthed and contextualized.
Given the geography, tactics and methods of the Azerbaijani offensive, the autocratic regime of Ilham Aliyev is aiming to forcibly occupy the territory of Artsakh through committing large-scale atrocities.
Armenia’s Security Council recently introduced a new National Security Strategy after a 13-year hiatus. Vahram Ter-Matevosyan writes that while it is an important milestone and invested efforts are praiseworthy, the document, with a few exceptions, is inward-looking and unambitious.