Looking at the emerging contours of the Trump Doctrine and its implications for the South Caucasus, Nerses Kopalyan examines competing policy orientations within Trump's incoming administration and how these will shape U.S. engagement with Armenia amid broader global and geopolitical priorities.
The Trump administration’s response to the 2020 war reflected a blend of traditional U.S. neutrality as a mediator and Trump's characteristic populist rhetoric, which appeared partly aimed at appealing to Armenian-American voters during the U.S. presidential election campaign that year.
As the geopolitical landscape in the South Caucasus remains precarious, potential changes in EU and U.S. leadership can pose additional challenges for Armenia. Amid these uncertainties, Armenia's diplomatic efforts become increasingly important and serve as a test of its resilience.
Armenia has about 15,000 active COVID-19 cases. Even if that number decreases by June 20, there will most likely be thousands of eligible voters who are positive. With no mail-in voting and no opportunity to vote in advance, election administrators face a constitutional conundrum.
Although Nikol Pashinyan and Donald Trump are different in demeanor and policy, both lean heavily on the populist playbook. Each is more comfortable fighting against resistant forces rather than governing through institutions.
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