EVN Report’s fourth and final pre-election survey shows continued gains for Civil Contract, improving public perceptions of the economy and the country’s direction, and rising approval ratings for Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. Meanwhile, opposition forces remain fragmented as Armenian voters head to the polls.

From access to American weapons systems, to implementation of TRIPP, to cooperation on critical minerals, the agreements signed during U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s visit represents a new stage in U.S.-Armenia relations. Nerses Kopalyan examines their security significance and writes that it was a recognition by Washington that Armenia’s security and stability have become increasingly important components of its regional policy.

Armenia is seeking to redefine its global role through “smart power". By hosting the European Political Community Summit and a series of major international forums, Yerevan is leveraging diplomacy, connectivity and strategic partnerships to expand its international relevance, resilience and foreign policy autonomy.

The third wave of EVN Report’s voter behavior poll shows rising approval for Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and improving perceptions of the country’s direction, while opposition fragmentation persists. With nearly 40% of voters still undecided, and a significant share leaning toward the incumbent party, their eventual alignment remains decisive in shaping Armenia’s 2026 parliamentary elections.

EVN Report’s second wave of polling reveals growing public confidence in the country’s direction and a strengthening position for the incumbent Civil Contract. While the opposition remains fragmented, undecided voters continue to hold the key to the outcome of Armenia’s upcoming parliamentary elections.

The Iran War has produced two escalatory models: the U.S.-Israeli “escalate to de-escalate” approach and Iran’s “horizontal escalation” strategy. Armenia’s response is strategic ambiguity: avoiding entanglement while preserving ties with competing partners. To be successful in risk-mitigation, Yerevan must use “situational ambiguity” to navigate crises and de-risk the danger of entanglement.

While Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev portrays himself globally as a proponent of reconciliation and regional cooperation, the data clearly demonstrates his questionable commitment to the peace process. In this expansive study, Nerses Kopalyan and a team of researchers produce empirically-grounded analysis, utilizing an AI machine-learning toolkit, of Azerbaijan’s media ecosystem, revealing the disconnect between Aliyev’s domestic propaganda and his diplomatic rhetoric on peace.

EVN Report’s first of four Armenian Election Study polls ahead of the June 7, 2026 parliamentary elections offers a methodologically rigorous snapshot of voter preference, groundbreaking results on non-committed (undecided) voters and party performance, revealing cautious optimism on security and economy, and a competitive but incumbent-leaning race.

Armenia’s foreign and security policy realignment is reshaping regional dynamics. Nerses Kopalyan introduces the doctrine of multi-alignment to Armenia’s policy discourse, arguing that diversification is rooted in this doctrine, one that favors strategic partnerships over alliances to de-risk security and enhance statecraft.

In this sharp critique of political revisionism in Armenia, Nerses Kopalyan examines how distorted narratives seek to undermine the Velvet Revolution, erase popular sovereignty, and normalize cynicism, victimhood and authoritarian nostalgia as tools to weaken democracy and collective agency.